From Bryan Hoch:
This series has been circled on the Yankees’ calendars for some time, last year’s postseason memories still simmering while the Blue Jays occupy the visitors’ dugout in the Bronx. As Jazz Chisholm Jr. put it: “We owe you something.”
So far, that debt is being repaid – though not without drama.
One night after David Bednar teetered on the brink in a shaky ninth inning, Camilo Doval navigated trouble to lock down his first save of the year as the Yankees secured a 5-4 victory over the Blue Jays on Tuesday in the Bronx.
“That’s what makes baseball fun,” said Ben Rice, who hit his 16th homer, tying Aaron Judge for the team lead. “Of course, we’d rather it be a nice 1-2-3, but the reality is, it’s not always going to be that way. When they’re threatening with runners in scoring position, it’s our job to lock it in and stop them.”
I legit don’t get it. I’m not saying that the Yankees should, like, CUT Doval. He’s clearly too talented to just DUMP, but shouldn’t you see him have a sustained period of success before you say, “Go close the game”? Especially when Tim Hill and Brent Headrick HAVE had a lot of success?
Hopefully this cures Boone of that idea (it won’t).
What a big win. Featured image is Ryan McMahon, who shocked EVERYONE by hitting a three-run home run, part of five run against Cease.
You gotta love how they kicked the ass of a great starter having an outstanding season. This has to be a devastating loss for the Blue Jays. If this happened to the Yankees, I would be super bummed out.
The Yankees now just have to win on Thursday after Yesavage dominates them tonight, and they will have won the series! But since Rodon goes on Thursday, it looks like it’ll be a split, but hey, better than getting swept!
Then Gerrit Cole will just thrown right into the fire against the Rays on Friday. What could go wrong? Oh, a lot? Touche!
It would be swell if Judge could stop this slump of his, by the way. Bobby Witt is now ahead of him in WAR.
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Doval couldn’t even cover first base to help himself out. What’s wrong with him? Why can this team suddenly not figure out an acceptable bullpen?
Wait – the Yanks played last night? Let’s go Knicks. Who had less than a 1% chance of winning with 7 minutes left.
It was amazing, but man, with the way that teams shoot threes nowadays, it didn’t even seem SHOCKING, ya know? They should probably adjust their odds percentages accordingly.
All through the playoffs, I’ve been seeing teams make up huge leads in a matter of minutes.
I hate the 3s. Ought to get 3 for driving into the middle and laying it up over a 7 footer. You get rewarded for taking a bad shot
How would we measure an impact of manager ejections on team wins and losses?
It should be possible to identify the specific games and innings of manager ejections, though I can’t find a database where this is tracked, so it might take review of news reports. Might be screenable with basic text search for terms like “ejected”.
Once the games are identified, it should be easy to identify them as team wins/losses using the news article and/or some central database.
A more granular approach – of run differential with and without manager – might also be possible, at least for more recent decades where all plays were tracked. One might exclude the inning of the ejection so as to remove confounding by the mid-inning removal of a manager.
I would hypothesize that the overall league’s winning percentage in games where a manager is thrown out would be slightly under .500 since the manager is disputing a call against their team. It might even be possible to assess winning percentages on a per-team, per-manager basis, though this would be extremely noisy when confined to a single season or manager, and it would be tough to get reliable sample sizes for most managers even over their whole career. But for someone like Boone who’s been tossed almost 50 times over 8.5 years, with a team that performs pretty steadily in that time, it might be less noisy. And we could see whether the Yankees do better than usual in games where Boone is tossed; we could even use run differential for the before/after effect. If they did better without him, then it might reflect that Boone’s ejection fired the team up, or it might reflect that Boone’s managing typically harms the team.
Bobby Cox would be a great test case for this question.
Are we sure that managers don’t continue ot make the decisions, just not from the dugout? Or that whoever makes the decisions usually doesn’t continue to make the decisions after an ejection?
Good point. And then there’s also the Bobby Valentine strategem.
I mean, overall I like the idea and the approach!
Some ugly weather in the forecast tonight.
Fucking devil rays.
At the very least, Rico Garcia’s cursed magic is ending. That kind of annoyed me.
Scored the fifth run on a steal of home.
We never should’ve let them rebuild the Trop.
DH Ben Rice L
RF Aaron Judge R
LF C. Bellinger L
2B J. Chisholm L
1B P. Goldschmidt R
CF T. Grisham L
3B Ryan McMahon L
SS A. Volpe R
C Austin Wells L
That’s a shockingly well constructed lineup.
Well constructed my the manager not by the GM. 6/7 in that lineup are being paid $38m for crap production
Except for some of the players in it, yes.
Three guys batting under 200.
Start delayed.
Isn’t the rain coming heavier LATER? How odd.
9:10 start