From Bryan Hoch:
The past several days served as a showcase for the Yankees’ player development pipeline, with George Lombard Jr., Spencer Jones and Ben Rice all contributing to victories over the Braves.
Sunday was Cam Schlittler’s turn to shine, but the support came too late.
Michael Harris II knocked in the deciding run with a 10th-inning single off Paul Blackburn, sending the Yankees to a 2-1 loss on Sunday afternoon at Yankee Stadium.
I didn’t think it was fair to give Blackburn the featured image, because, well, come on, dude gave up ONE hit in two innings of work. It’s not HIS fault the offense sucked ass.
I feel a BIT bad giving it to McMahon for the final out, as it could have gone to any number of pathetic performances by the Yankee hitters, but, well, he was the final out, so he gets the featured image.
As we have noted, it is one thing for the team to suck as a whole (that is bad, too, don’t get me wrong), but for NO ONE to get hot in over a fucking MONTH (since Rice was hot before the All-Star break)?! McMahon and Austin Wells are the “hottest” Yankees by virtue of being only PRETTY bad the last couple of weeks. Obviously, you can count George Lombard Jr., as well, but it’s, what, five games in the Majors for him? Seems hard to count him. It just doesn’t make any sense. Even shitty teams typically have SOMEone get hot. The 1990 Yankees had Kevin Maus (I think Jesse Barfield also had a brief heater that year). NO ONE on this team is hot. They’re ALL slumping!
But fuck, at least the pitching continues to be great. Castro is fitting right in out of the bullpen. I like Chivilli, but I won’t front, Castro looks to be 100% more reliable as a pitcher right now in terms of his stuff. I wonder if there’s anything to be said for giving Bradley Hanner a look over Yerry. Yerry just seems like the most fungible guy ever. Like, he won’t kill you, but he ain’t GOOD, either.
Still nice to win a series against a very good team. If this team could hit at ALL, they would be really, really fucking good.
This is a 500 team without a healthy judge and a WS contender with him. Sigh.
It really does seem like the Yankee hitting will beat the Yankee pitching as often as the Yankee pitching will hold off the Yankee hitting, but Brian’s right – there’s no way this group of players should be anywhere near this bad, and that’s taking full account of who those players are.
It’s nuts how bad almost every one is playing individually.
And if you discount Rice’s little burst of offense, it’s surely been over TWO straight months.
It’s beyond insane. One would think it couldn’t possibly continue. I’m totally convinced that it can, but logically it should be close to impossible.
A 94-win team with him, a 76-win team without him; that is what the numbers show since 2021.
Sometimes we say a guy makes his teammates better. It would be interesting to try and quantify that. Like, look at other infielders’ defense when the 1B is Goldy vs Rice; or at Jeter’s SS defense when the 3B was A-Rod vs anyone else; or, to Pete’s point, to look at every Yankee’s offensive and defensive WAR when Judge is IL’d vs not.
Of course the intra-season comparisons wouldn’t get to the lasting effect that a new teammate can have – for instance I think Wade Boggs was probably super helpful to Bernie, Paulie, etc. Would have to do cross-season comparisons for that.
I wonder how far you could take that. Maybe there are players who are more susceptible than others to having changes in the quality of rest of the lineup/the rest of the defense improve or diminish their performance. A bunch of integrals should be able to answer that, given the right dataset.
Nifty approach. The major caveats with humongous data sets are the false discovery rate from simultaneously testing so many hypotheses (ie querying so many correlations) and also the risk of overfitting; but with properly adjusted significance thresholds and validation in independent data sets, might well be doable.
For historical players, could train (develop hypotheses) on a subset of years and validate on the remainder.
For current players, could validate prospectively.
not to highjack, but this reminds me of an idea I’ve been bandying about, specifically how can you translate reputation to result in the case of the side chatter between batters or when someone returns to the dugout and gives the on deck hitter. outside of (and in addition to) anecdotal evidence, the soft skills of players fascinates me
If you could quantify that… hell, if you could actually prove that the effect is there, that would be very cool.
Didn’t someone say something to Bucky Dent right before he became known as F-n Bucky Dent? Good times.
https://www.statmuse.com/mlb/ask/ben-rice-stats-last-45-days
And as noted, he was briefly hot in early July, so his last, like, 25 days must be inSANEly bad!
Yep, that’s definitely insanely bad. Fuck, Ben!
Rowson will work with him and fix it. Trust the process.
Sonny Gray is in the conversation for AL Cy Young.
The Mets scored 7 runs in the first three innings v. the Braves. The Yankees scored 9 runs in 29 innings v. the Braves.
WOE.
Bosox lose.
And had they won, it would have been because the Blue Jays didn’t know how the rules work.
So thank goodness the Red Sox didn’t win
Is that a typo?
“And had they won, it would have been because the Blue Jays didn’t know how the rules work.”
What happened?
https://www.facebook.com/reel/3329691590537797
The Rays score 8 in the 8th and win 10-6.
What a season for the fucking Rays. Just nonsense win after nonsense win.
I dismissed their early season success because I did not think their starting pitching would remain healthy or effective, and it has remained both.